Get Ready! To Party just like 1999. Get Ready to Rocket.

May 11, 2019

11-May-2019/Dynamictrader.com; The effected result of the New Tariffs imposed on China is expected to result in further squeezing of the American Consumer which by some expectations could result in up to US$800/- per family in America with PMI, Economy and Employment suffering going ahead and with the brunt of it to hit on the consumer.

The Financial markets on the other hand have not only reversed all their losses and made new highs just two weeks prior and going into the FOMC, Trump’s tweets further reimposes the idea that indeed to counter the ill effects of his own trade policies China is stimulating their country and mighty America ought to do the same.

These two tweets spread around like Snapwire hot off the press, Signalling the party is about to start like wildfire.

If Indeed this is the case, it would need a move down to at least 10% off current highs to make it convenient for Powell to follow up on Trump’s monetary policy tactic of even further loose monetary policy and to go by any recent evidence, its exactly what China just did after the new tariffs had taken the wind out of its economic sails, They too went up like a Rocket!.

The last time such a scenario presented itself was in the Summer of October 1998, when our regular bouts of Bailouts first began and the stock market party like no tomorrow, Here is what happened then.

President Trump logic is relative simple, We print money big big, debt becomes small, poverty is uplifted. Debt is a cause of poverty, when you are unable to keep most of what you ever make, much akin like taxes, and if the government takes more like now in the case of tariffs, no matter what consumption suffers. Lets Print new values and isn’t it how we fix things for the better part of the last century.

And maybe just maybe that is what indeed the world economy needs, a mechanism to inflate the outstanding load of debt away, with more money in circulation, inflation gets back, eroding money value by a regular consistent percentage and with that higher incomes to compensate for a relative stable debt load that deflates while money inflates at the same time.

Whilst these higher values in higher cost paid and higher incomes received will result in enhanced GDP figures and in turn make debt ratios looking relatively smaller and may give a boost to the global economy which is stagnating and quickening at the same time. Some options mapped out by Merrill Lynch;

So what will it take to get us there.

We all know the federal reserve and all central banks will panic once the market turns down 10%, last December that’s exactly when Powell turned dovish and two months prior the Federal Reserve was tapering, today there is no greater evidence to prove Central Banks policy is not data driven nor it is independent, it is geared towards perception management and the stock market is hardly reflective of the underlying conditions of the real economy on the ground, but nevertheless they try.

So like in the summer of 1998, when the LTCM collapse came and in the same summer were legendary  traders like Neiderhoffer went bankrupt and Veteran Trader George Soros went short into the dot com rally before losing 60% of his bet and going long near the highs. The Party like 1998 is about to start, we just need a systematic collapse and never let a crisis go to waste.

What are the leading thoughts of China in all of this….

The last time such a scenario presented itself was in the Summer of October 1998, when our regular bouts of bailouts first began and the stock market party like no tomorrow began, The Stock market made higher highs with the Nasdaq rallying in over 500% in 16 months from the LTCM lows and a party like no tomorrow had begun, which wouldn’t turn till the greatest fool of all had gone long. Here is how it happened back then.

How we just screwed the consumer, each family to be affected by 800/- dollars per year by Trumps trariffs on China, this last Friday. 10th May 2019.

Your Guess Is As Good As Mine.

Further Reading
{cognitive dissonance}  Animal Spirits, Bubbles, Mania’s and Market Peaks. http://ul3.com/FIl46
{cognitive dissonance}  FOMO Signs of the Euphoric. The Bust is almost near! http://ul3.com/6K2S3
{cognitive dissonance}  BITCOIN – A Fraud and Ponzi in a Disillusioned World: http://ul3.com/35fH1
{cognitive dissonance}  The Greed: http://ul3.com/pUDgd
The Hope: http://ul3.com/CuC7d
{cognitive dissonance}  The Ignorant, Zombies: http://ul3.com/PP8Ez
{cognitive dissonance}  Perception vs Reality: http://ul3.com/UcYb1
Revolutionary Transformation Ongoing. http://ul3.com/kcYCE 
– Global Economic Collapse January 18, 2016

The March Forward, Gold Breaks 1326, Trump the Dollar, The Emperor with no Clothes.

January 14, 2018

Dynamictrader.com/12/01/2018/ Daniel Mankani

Last year GOLD Break at 1226 was based on the trump inflation trade, tax cuts and infrastructure spending boost, unleashing a call for revolution, “Lets Make America Great”, lets march on to even greater heights. The march forward, gold breaks 1326, Trumps the Dollar at 52 week lows, telling us “The Emperor is with no New Clothes”. Gold targets 1400 and even higher levels. Dollar Yen is back in “Safe Haven Play”. Expect Risk off traders to begin momentum. The bursting of all Bubbles and the Melt Up nearing its end.

GLOBAL WORLD STOCK MARKETS HEAT MAPS.
[stock_forex_markets_heat_map settings=”type=stock;background=#fff”]

EYES ON THE BALL: Gold bottomed in December 2015, similarly its around the same time many other major commodities bottomed as well. This break today of 1326 is making higher highs.

Friday’s high of almost 1340 is now approaching key resistance levels. In the manner and the strength of the rally, in my mind the momentum is strong enough targeting highest highs. A MARCH ON has began.

1400 is on the cards.
In 2017 alone gold settled 10% higher and dollar slumped the same. Whilst most of this gold gains coming in the last week of the year. On December 11th, we called the lows and here is why; In 2015:Gold Breaks 1226| This in itself was the first announcement gold rallies of highest high has began. It is notable of what a week change can do to personal annual portfolio’s. Just a week before December 11th 2017, Gold traded near 1237 lows. But it never did threaten 1226 again. You Know Why!.

Since that Gold Breaks 1226 report the Stock Market has marched on even higher. It feels a long time since then, but stocks a year ago and today have the greatest change as well as no meaningful correction for a very long time.

What’s going on? its was 43 days back then without the S&P having a meaning full correction. Now that period will be almost a year. { Gold Breaks 1226 }.Stocks and Gold have rallied even after the Federal Reserve Last Interest Rate Hike, both have marched higher!.

ANIMAL SPIRITS are ongoing, the melt-up continues and nearing another area of potential peaks. But how did we get here. fear of missing out as demonstrated in the fraud and a ponzi called crypto-currencies of which is also Bitcoin.

TRUMP the Emperor who has no Clothes.

Laugh and Know
But making fun of the high and mighty is what we do here at the Diary.

“Laugh and know,” said the Roman poet Martial. You can understand the pretensions… the foolish contradictions… and the absurd fantasies… only if you’re able to laugh at them.

Specifically, we were laughing at the way The Donald has bamboozled his own base. He talks their talk. But he walks the walk of the Deep State.

 

Mr. Trump is a showman.

quoting Frank Zappa, “politics is basically the entertainment arm of the military/industrial complex.”

We would add that it serves the social welfare/Wall Street complex, too. Trump – veteran reality TV star and professional wraslin’ fan – distracts the voters while the insiders pick their pockets.

An Emperor With No New Clothes.

Its a great wikipedia story; What happens to Bullion Banks? What happens when those excessive contratual agreements which are more than the physical underlying begins to chase for the Physical, where none so exist as much as they have loaned out. What happens when the short covering begins? The unravelling of the 30’yrs low and lower low only, directional trade of Treasuries Bonds. What happens then?

Major FX Rates Changes

Dollar Closes at 52 weeks Lows on Friday.

 

Your guess is as good as mine!. Watch where the dollar is going? Its down 10% at the 52 weeks low and closing in to break in even lower. The last time this happened was in 2003. Look-up what happened in 2003! Also a republican and the start of world wars!

Gold Hits Highest High! “December 2012”. End of the World Rally!.

Last week Wednesday market reaction to “China may diversify send dollar tumbling and yields on the 10 yrs spooked at 2.63 highs. Since December 2015 gold has consistency made higher highs. Recent mining industry reports also suggest while demand grew in Asia, especially India and China for gold imports, gold annual production is in decline, additionally; China has become the highest gold producer in the world and do you see any external China Gold Exports???.

What happens? When contractual obligations are greater than the underlying?

Caveat Emptor in what you believe in. Complacency is at play across every society.

World Dollar Forex Heat Maps

[stock_forex_markets_heat_map settings=”type=forex;background=#fff”]

Watch where it is Green and Where it is Red. Look at FX Maps Above. When we break below the 90”s, dollar drops with momentum.

“Quoting from the dollar collapse blog.

Looking at just this one indicator, it would be reasonable to assume that gold’s all-too-brief run is about to end. But on the other side of this equation is the certainty that physical demand will eventually swamp these paper games and send gold and silver up in a bitcoin-worthy arc to their intrinsic values of $5,000/oz and $100/oz, respectively.

Therein lies the gold-bug’s dilemma. Precious metals will bounce around aimlessly – until they don’t – but the phase change won’t be obvious until after the fact. With that in mind, here are three possible approaches:

Avoid this asset class until a sustained uptrend is clearly established. That means waiting for, say, $1,500/oz before jumping in. So you give up a few hundred dollars an ounce in return for avoiding the pointless back-and-forth, but in the end still triple your money. Not bad.

Keep adding a little at a time. Each month buy a few silver coins or a few more gold mining shares and tune out the noise (such as this article), safe in the knowledge that eventually the dysfunctional global monetary system will come undone and capital will pour into the relative handful of safe haven assets like gold and silver, making the highs and lows of the before-times completely irrelevant. This is the best way to deal with incomplete knowledge of the future, and is therefore what most people should do.

Assume that this is it — that the current uptrend will soon go parabolic — and jump into precious metals with both feet. If it works, it’s one of those life-changing bets that everyone wishes they had the guts to make. If not, well, at least the downside is limited at this point.
The longer this goes on, the more attractive the third option becomes.

Trump the Dollar.

The March is on, your guess is as good as mine!.

LINKS
Disclaimer. http://ul3.com/L30qH
Back to the Beginning. http://ul3.com/aeVUG
BTAMSC – http://ul3.com/vAqdH
BITCOIN – A Fraud and Ponzi in a Disillusioned World: http://ul3.com/35fH1
The Greed: http://ul3.com/pUDgd
The Hope: http://ul3.com/CuC7d
The Ignorant, Zombies: http://ul3.com/PP8Ez
Perception vs Reality: http://ul3.com/UcYb1
History: http://ul3.com/1rCFA
Chart Patterns: http://ul3.com/ate6A
Introduction to Technical Analysis. http://ul3.com/kcYCE

Writings.
INTRODUCTION TO FINANCIAL MARKETS & TRADING OPPORTUNITIES IN COMMODITY, CURRENCY, & FINANCIAL FUTURES. http://ul3.com/dAFWj

Revolutionary Transformation Ongoing. http://ul3.com/kcYCE
– Global Economic Collapse January 18, 2016

Gold breaks 1226.

February 6, 2017

[stock_forex_markets_heat_map settings=”type=stock;background=#fff”]

Most traders have just returned after the long Chinese New Year holidays.

Today, Asia

Is a force to reckon with, namely South East Asia, with Hong Kong leading, Singapore, Tokyo, Shanghai, Mumbai and Kuala Lumpur are increasingly becoming Financial Capital Centre’s and holidays here are often in tandem with quite low volumes in;

European

And America’s Market.

What does this mean? Your guess is as good as mine. – Daniel Mankani

In any case, Chinese New Year holidays always bring memories of Redpacket.com

China tweaked some of its short term interest rates to the upside and gold has now broken out of its top max resistance. In December 2016, we highlighted, that; if Gold breaks above 1226, it will be time to pay attention on matters of geo-political, deteriorating international relations and may provide clues of picked up momentum, massive confusion and chaos in global order and this will; also indicate the coming peak in the US dollar. The US dollar is indeed the greatest bubble of our time’s.

And Its not coincidental that the greatest bankruptcy expert reins leadership on the most bankrupt nation on the planet. It may seem to you, that this is a coincidence, but as highlighted in various other past postings of ours, its not coincidence, but by design. Historically, there has been no country or empire that has come out unscathed by engaging in useless, expensive, overseas wars, which add to it no added benefit, but just providing a feeling of benevolence. That’s America for you, today!.

What is Dynamic Trader, Trend Trading Dynamics & Disclaimer’s

Stocks are flashing RED.

Albeit, this chart is from 2013.

 

Stocks have been kept elevated by global central banks buying equities with both fists. This regular interventionist activities by such groups, is an attempt to create a misunderstanding and drive a perception, with the hope, that it manifests itself, that all is well.

Such is an experiment, that former Federal Reserve chairman, Mr Ben Bernanke undertook, in order not to let the economy hurt, as badly, as it did, in the great depression.

Dollar Yen Threatening Weekly Lows. Its not only gold. Flashing RED.

The equity market and its underlying is fundamentally driven, you can only create an illusion and as much so, only till, such a time, that the illusion can take hold by itself and manifest itself, but when you have multiple time cycles coinciding at the same time and they are against it, such an attempt can indeed lead to a much undesirable behaviour and a threatening outcome, which again, by itself, repeats itself.

Foolhardy, as it all seems now. Not only Stocks, debt and money too is manipulated at much greater levels.

Even back then in the roaring twenties, there was also a Mr; Bernanke back then, who also would have tried his hand at the shadow game of perception management. past charts are simply, reflective of those times, which again repeat itself with greater volatility.

./update.21:50hrs KL: Remember this; The down move will announce itself with a min of 2% move.
Additionally, US Stocks have not have had a 1% move over the last 43 days.

What does this mean? Your guess is as good as mine.

Key Stats.
Gold Key Levels: 1180.55 {Support}
1260 { Pivotal Resistance |
2017 Low: 1146.05 | High: 1244.76
2016 Low: 1060.54 | High: 1375.17
Historical High: 1920.74 {09/2011}
Recent Bottom: 1046.18 {12/2015}
Short Term Bias: Bullish / Peaking
Medium Term Bias: Bearish / Bottoming
Long Term Bias: Bullish.

When SPX breaks down, gold could be nearing 1243. A potential stopping zone within 1238-1243 region. If stalled, then 1218 needs to provide support, a move below here, opens up 1200 and 1185, fooled ya for X-Mas plays out. Am expecting two things at the same time.

A break of SPX as well as stalling of gold near 1238-1243 region. Now, although both markets are closely co-related, Ceteris Paribus; SPX down has seen gold bids at most times, this occurrence has been on a tick-by-tick basis and as if, GOLD is a safe haven / Trump INFLATION play.

With the current setup, there is now an even great possibility that gold break downs, as the fools rush in, setup completes in the stock and bonds markets.

Each and every time, right at the peak, first the stock market sells off and gold rises with noble intentions, once here too, fools rush in completes, the sell off begins, momentously driven further as the stock plunges takes greater hold. my speculative mind tells me, it may be right about this time the collapse hits, And we see gold too, sells off, this has happened at the apex of every peak. This coming sell off, could offer an even enhanced; buying opportunity.

No different this time.

./ We shall see.,

 

A quant speaks.

January 15, 2017

a quant speaks.

You have to change for the situation to change.
Inquiry | Understand Karma.

Just like success can be programmed, failures too, are running a program, which in affect is also a program, which exhibits success.

If you are repeating failing, then the cause is no one, but you, as you suffer from the affects of failure, due to your repetitive behaviour, if so, you can also be programmed to counteract those affects, to output the desired behaviour.

As a data analyst, this will make you, understand, that with the data presented, there is no coincidences, everything is well programmed, it’s just the data lying stale there, giving us our very own understanding, of what that is.

It also tells us, if yesterday is the same as today, then tomorrow will be the same, cause human behavior is the hardest to change.

Introduction to TECHNICAL ANALYSIS.

These human behaviours, repeatedly provides us with trends, outputted at various sites of BTAMSC.

This is what we do, at banking technologies Asia. We study data, data that is clean, data that is not obtained, but gathered, studying human behavior, in current form and the past, and we store this data, and call this dataset1 {history}.

On any single day, we analyse practically everything, gathered in real time, these bots of ours, operate like spiders, they dive deep into the web, to collect everything. To know everything, and archive it into history.

We keep track of the news, via snapwire.com.

To analyse to {dataset1}, we add another sets of new data into it, our bots gather and keep track of comments on blogs and all forms of social media, and we store these as {dataset2} as name them as feelings, or thoughts.

With this new data, a new preservative is added into the spectrum, to identify, his reality, vis perception, we scrub the two datasets, against each other.

We get a pattern. A pattern of truth.

Introduction to Chart Paterns.

Most importantly, we get to develop, predictive technology, intelligence is been gathered on our system, by giving us the predicative capability, of determining the next probable outcome, with the relative degree of safety, of potential pitfalls, challenges that may arise, in the fulfillment of the most probable outcome and what if; how; and other potentially required, questions, can be outputted from such a system. The most probable trends, our current condition of inquiry, are again outputted for scrubbing, at  http://dynamictrader.com And http://dynamictrader.org, sites we operate since 1998/-.

As such, we run multiple tools of information gathering systems and run them against each other, to determine the path of most probable outcome, this is a trend, that we are attempting to identify, the path of least resistance.

Analysis is a subject of repeated inquiry, that is what it is. The questioning and repeated inquiry, of what if, why, and every such question is the subject of such inquiry, then this is what is outputted, its called Intelligence, a state of {I Know more than you.}.

We then add into {another dataset3} , we call this economy. We track financial data, of all nature.(p)

Financial s Comparison Analysis.

KINDLY ACKNOWLEDGE THIS SITES DISCLAIMER of Dynamictrader before proceeding to any of its archived content. Our permission of granting you access, is depended and subjective based upon your agreement, to all our site terms and conditions, privacy and copyright terms and respective risk disclaimers. of which, you relieve us against any liabilities now or in the future, from the use and access of information, which are raw in nature in many cases, and you may suffer losses beyond your comprehension, leading to even cause of death, if you are walking across the street in deep confusion or doubt. 

INTRODUCTION TO FINANCIAL MARKETS & TRADING OPPORTUNITIES IN COMMODITY, CURRENCY, & FINANCIAL FUTURES – Archived on: Jan 2, 1995 | http://ul3.com/dAFWj  | http://dynamictrader.org/financial-markets-trading-opportunities-commodity-currency-financial-futures/

We believe in is a world without borders. A world without barriers and monopolies protecting the inefficient are been questioned. The days of segregation are behind us. Talent remains global and capital follows it. Redundant processes once identified become obsolete. Value creation meets success. Technology deployment demands speed!. Its Human Evolution not Revolution. Will you sink or swim?.

Progressively Evolve and aggregate extensible success, deploy existing resources and reinvent. Strategic deployment and high standards delivers value to your customers, our customers!. To redefine processes, Ask BTAMSC, Give us a Challenge!.  As Quants, Data is our best friend, without bias and corruption, we identify the inefficient and make them obsolete. For a Better World! Full of Love. For you, for us and our Lovely Planet.

BTAMSC is currently seeking partners to value add in the following joint ventures. Cloud based solution upload.asia, SocialNetwork platform planetic.com, Alternative News Media, snapwire.com, P2P+Merchant Solutions payments.asia, Virtual and Social Gifting redpacket.com, Ebooks Magazine Store emagbook.com, Expats community site, escapeartist.in, Free online educational platform elearningweb.com and virtual office platform keyteams.com.

Bidlease.com – Joint Venture Opportunities.

Learn more about our company, here; http://banktech.net

Our data is not for sale. For fear of corruption and bias.
We practically have no clients, want no clients.
We seek value adding, performance driven, systematically executing; joint venture partners.

Venture capital is available, meeting such criteria.

Our Services. We can help you;
ReInvent
ReInvent the Physical Presence with a Tasks Based Efficient Digital Office.

ReStructure
Restructure skills and resources assets globally with BTAMSC start to end solutions.

ReAlign
ReAlign resources to specific tasks, objectives to meet goals, outlined in milestones.

RePresent
RePresent in various online channels and grow to your full potential.

LINKS
Disclaimer. http://ul3.com/L30qH
Back to the Beginning. http://ul3.com/aeVUG
BTAMSC – http://ul3.com/vAqdH
The Greed: http://ul3.com/pUDgd
The Ignorant, Zombies: http://ul3.com/PP8Ez
History: http://ul3.com/1rCFA
Chart Patterns: http://ul3.com/54VLV
Introduction to Technical Analysis. http://ul3.com/kcYCE

Writings.
INTRODUCTION TO FINANCIAL MARKETS & TRADING OPPORTUNITIES IN COMMODITY, CURRENCY, & FINANCIAL FUTURES. http://ul3.com/dAFWj
Revolutionary Transformation Ongoing. http://ul3.com/kcYCE
– Global Economic Collapse  January 18, 2016

And Why;
Technopreneurship Development – Daniel Mankani. http://ul3.com/kcYCE
– Published Sep 2003. Pearson Education Asia

 

Opportunity beckons for India!

January 10, 2013

Woman Power Opportunity beckons for India!

India is facing its own Tahir movement, soceity from all sides are unhappy with the manner the country is governed, for the last two years, corruption took centre stage as the main topic, what has resolved, is little. But people are trying, they are waking up to the facts of live and realize the difference in Inda vs-a-vs elsewhere, And it’s this comparision which has driven the demand for change. It seems by the recent news out of Delhi, there is still a lot to fix, besides corruption.

The recent rape case and the workings of the police force are been questioned, when leaders are not leaders, the efficiency at lower levels will indeed be poor. How can a politician know, what, how, the police force should function.So the Politician options are limited, he is unable to directly govern the Police Force, as the Inner workings
remain unknown to him. Best option most Politicians will choose, is either an Defence/Police Industry Veteran or a related cousin.

In my next book, Knowledge Based Economy, explains, “the changes we are witnessing, worldwide will see governments functioning in a very different form than today, and its possible, it could evolve into “For the People, By The People, To the People” as it was originally envisioned by the founding fathers of most countries, which has been hijacked from its true meaning, by Aristrocrats everywhere”.

With these changes slowing gaining momentum, we should witness an increase of Globalization, which should help raise up the living standards of societies everywhere by their participation. The world integrating, businesses compete, where creativity and innovation follows, riches and opportunities beckons.

Thanks to Ayesha Kidwai, who wrote today! “Universities have fed India’s Tahrir moment” and states,

  • About 40 per cent of the more than 17 million students enrolled in the Indian higher education system are women, many of whom are struggling against great odds to pursue academic careers.
  • Since the late 1970s, the Indian women’s movement has been fed by women student activists; however, the protests that Delhi and India have witnessed following the gang rape and murder of the young 23-year-old medical student have been unprecedented and honestly, unexpected.
  • they seek to set a national agenda that will discuss sexual violence as one end of a spectrum of outrage that denies women the right to life (son preference has led to a completely unnatural child sex ratio of 914 females to 1000 males), the freedom to dress and to love (and leave) as they please, the right to resist suffering marital rape and abuse in the home and sexual harassment at university and the workplace, and most importantly, the right to be treated as equals.

{Opportunity Beckons: Ecommerce, targetted Woman Audience}
As equality rises, so does spending power!. Vbags.com Anyone Interested in a J/V with BTAMSC